How Near Goal? | Econbrowser by admin March 18, 2024 0 Technically, the Fed targets the PCE deflator, however many use the core PCE as a proxy. I present what the ...
Forecasts and Nowcasts | Econbrowser by admin February 8, 2024 0 CBO has launched its Funds and Financial Outlook, with projections for GDP (based mostly on knowledge from early December). That ...
ZeroHedge Goes Adaptive Expectations | Econbrowser by admin February 5, 2024 0 Think about my shock once I see a press release “charges at the moment are barely optimistic in line with ...
Instructing Macro 2024 | Econbrowser by admin January 24, 2024 0 First time instructing undergrad macro (elective, after intermediate macro) in three years, so I believed time to revise the syllabus ...
Client Costs | Econbrowser by admin January 12, 2024 0 Present differing trajectories, relying on protection, development. Determine 1: CPI (blue), chained CPI adjusted by creator utilizing X-13 (tan), CPI ...
Inflation Nowcasts and Expectations | Econbrowser by admin January 9, 2024 0 NY Fed median anticipated y/y CPI inflation at 3%. Nowcast for core y/y at 3.9%. Determine 1: Instantaneous CPI inflation ...
Wisconsin Financial Indicators Diverge | Econbrowser by admin January 2, 2024 0 The labor market seems stronger than GDP. Determine 1: Wisconsin Nonfarm Payroll Employment (darkish blue), Civilian Employment (tan), actual wages ...
Smooth Touchdown? | Econbrowser by admin November 29, 2023 0 I’ve puzzled about what a “smooth touchdown” entails, and whether or not we're are headed towards one (see dialogue of ...
CFNAI, WEI, WECI, and so on. | Econbrowser by admin November 22, 2023 0 From Chicago Fed in the present day: Determine 1: Chicago Fed Nationwide Exercise Index (CFNAI) (blue), and three month shifting ...
Manufacturing on the Rise? | Econbrowser by admin October 10, 2023 0 Right here’s an image of producing exercise: employment, hours labored, manufacturing, and new orders: Determine 1: Complete employment in manufacturing ...