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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Chicken Track of the Day
Horned Screamer, Táchira, Venezuela. Brief however candy!
Politicsd
“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are the truth is a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
Capitol Seizure
“Rep. Loudermilk confirms all videotapes from Jan. 6 Committee depositions are gone” [Just the News]. “”The entire videotapes of all depositions are gone,” Rep. Barry Loudermilk, R-Ga., chairman of the Home Administration oversight subcommittee, advised the “Simply the Information, No Noise” tv present Thursday evening. Loudermilk mentioned he believes beneath the Home guidelines the videotapes certified as congressional proof as a result of some clips have been aired at hearings, and all of the tapes ought to have been preserved by the now-defunct J6 committee and its chairman, Rep. Bennie Thompson, D-Miss…. Loudermilk additionally revealed one other tantalizing twist within the J6 committee proof: . Home Republicans don’t have any information of who the witnesses have been, what they mentioned, or why it’s being utilized by the federal prosecutor of their case towards Trump, Loudermilk mentioned. The paperwork ‘belong to the Home. They need to have by no means been despatched. And second of all, don’t ship them again to me this closely redacted. These are our paperwork,’ the chairman mentioned. ‘However my query is, why was it okay for a Democrat-run Home of Representatives to have unredacted paperwork however not when there’s a Republican committee that’s trying into this. What’s it that the committee and or the White Home is attempting to cover?’” • And that’s a very good query to ask, isn’t it? (And if these depositions are getting used as proof by the Prosecution in any of Trump’s trials, effectively….)
Biden Administration
2024
Lower than a 12 months to go!
Lambert right here: 340 days is a very long time in politics. Within the formulation of stability vs. volatility — that’s, the view that the race is a “common order” of Trump v. Biden, vs. the view that it’s in no way sure that Trump and/or Biden will nominated, elected, and allowed to imagine workplace, and additional, that the means by which the events will choose their candidates is unknown, and even the character of victory is unknown — I’m firmly on the facet of volatility. Therefore my grimly detailed and methodical pointillist technique; we have to know as a lot about all of the gamers and fields as we probably can, as a result of we can’t know who will emerge from the pack, and even, at this level, why. The powers that be can rig the election all they need, but when the canine gained’t eat the rigging, what then? And if they may, what then? So strap yourselves in.
* * * “The RNC’s guidelines for the 2024 conference don’t handle what would occur if Donald Trump is convicted” [Associated Press]. “The Republican Nationwide Committee’s guidelines for subsequent 12 months’s nominating contest and conference have been launched this week with out addressing a query the GOP might effectively face subsequent summer time: Can the occasion’s delegates vote for a special candidate if the presumptive nominee is convicted of a felony?” Nicely, we will at all times make up the foundations as we go alongside! Extra: “At subsequent 12 months’s conference, which begins July 15 in Milwaukee, there will likely be alternatives to tweak the foundations when they’re adopted or to droop them, which might require two-thirds of delegates to approve on a vote. ‘It’s a parliamentary physique,’ mentioned Benjamin Ginsberg, a Republican election lawyer. ‘It will possibly at all times work its will if it desires to 1 approach or one other.’ Such last-minute maneuvers are troublesome to arrange and there are few present indicators that delegates may search for another choice even with Trump’s prison circumstances looming.”
“My Father, My Religion, And Donald Trump” [The Atlantic]. At his Father’s funeral: “Now the group swarmed round us, filling the sanctuary and spilling out into the foyer and adjoining hallways, the place tables displayed flowers and golf golf equipment and photographs of Dad. I used to be numb. My brothers too. None of us had slept a lot that week. So the primary time somebody made a glancing reference to Rush Limbaugh, it didn’t compute. However then one other particular person introduced him up. After which one other. That’s after I related the dots. Apparently, the king of conservative speak radio had been name-checking me on his program lately—”a man named Tim Alberta”—and describing the unflattering revelations in my e-book about Trump. Nothing in that second might have mattered to me much less. I smiled, shrugged, and thanked individuals for coming to the visitation. They stored on coming. Greater than I might rely. Individuals from the church—individuals I’d recognized my complete life—have been greeting me, not primarily with condolences or encouragement or mourning, however with commentary about Limbaugh and Trump. A few of it was playful, guys remarking about how I used to be the identical mischief-maker they’d recognized since kindergarten. However a few of it wasn’t playful. A few of it was offended; a few of it was chilly and confrontational. One man questioned whether or not I used to be actually a Christian. One other requested if I used to be nonetheless on “the suitable facet.” All whereas Dad was in a field 100 ft away.” • Value studying in full.
“What Would a Trump Administration Imply for the Struggle in Ukraine?” [Russia Matters]. “It’s after all a very long time till the following U.S. presidential election, and far might occur in that point each within the U.S. and Ukraine, however, at current, opinion polls counsel each that Donald Trump would be the Republican presidential candidate and that he stands a very good likelihood of beating Joe Biden. A second Trump presidency appears more likely to imply enormously diminished assist for Ukraine, probably mixed with a U.S. push for a peace settlement. With out very excessive ranges of U.S. army assist ($61.4 billion up to now), will probably be inconceivable for Ukraine to proceed the combat. A second Trump administration is a prospect that European governments dread, however that they can’t affect. Nor have they got the flexibility, unity or will both to provoke negotiations themselves, or to substitute for U.S. army assist to Ukraine. They’re due to this fact additionally in ready mode. In the meantime, the Ukrainian institution is in a state of nice confusion and division. Consciousness is dawning that the probabilities of full victory are slight, and time will not be on Ukraine’s facet; however the authorities has declared so typically and so publicly {that a} compromise peace is unacceptable (particularly regarding even a short lived territorial compromise throughout a ceasefire) that will probably be extraordinarily troublesome for them to comply with talks, until they arrive beneath large public stress from Washington or endure a extreme army defeat. As for the Russian authorities, it senses that point is on its facet, and in addition seems keen to attend within the hope that Russia’s far larger reserves of manpower and ammunition mixed with Western and Ukrainian conflict weariness will ultimately pressure Ukraine to just accept Russian phrases (albeit ones that will in all probability be far lower than Moscow hoped for when it launched the conflict). Vladimir Putin—who’s poised to run for reelection within the spring—additionally hopes {that a} Trump administration would promote such a settlement.”
* * * “Florida GOP Chair, Whose Spouse Co-Based Mothers for Liberty, Accused of Sexual Assault amid Ménage à Trois Scandal” [People]. “Christian Ziegler, the pinnacle of Florida’s Republican Get together, is beneath prison investigation following an allegation of sexual battery, the Sarasota County Police Division confirms to PEOPLE. His accuser claims that she’d been in a consenting three-way sexual relationship with Christian and his spouse, Bridget Ziegler, for a while main as much as the incident, in keeping with the Florida Middle for Authorities Accountability. Whereas Christian chairs the Florida GOP, Bridget sits on Sarasota County’s college board and co-founded the far-right group Mothers for Liberty, a company that advocates towards any point out of LGBTQ rights, race, ethnicity, essential race idea, or discrimination in class curriculum. Although not with Mothers for Liberty, Bridget was one of many driving forces behind Florida’s divisive ‘Don’t Say Homosexual’ laws. A closely redacted report offered by the Sarasota PD reveals that an nameless particular person accused Christian — whose identify is hid on the doc — of sexual battery on Oct. 4 at a house in Sarasota. The phrase ‘raped’ is included within the report, although its context can also be redacted.” • And to assume I assumed the Florida Republican Get together was a well-oiled machine….
* * * “DeSantis’ Marketing campaign Could Have Flunked Its Remaining Check After Newsom Debate” [Daily Beast]. “Newsom typically appeared bewildered at simply how clumsy the DeSantis efficiency turned out, and took each alternative to hammer house his high gripes with the governor. He additionally went out of his option to defend President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris all through the practically two-hour affair…. Each Newsom and Hannity grew weary of DeSantis’ fixed interjections, with the California governor telling him to ‘loosen up,’ whereas Hannity asserted he wasn’t ‘a potted plant’ and requested DeSantis to let Newsom communicate on a couple of events. ‘Let one another breathe,’ a surprisingly Zen model of Hannity mentioned early on within the debate, to no avail. Past the countless crosstalk that ensued, the governors re-litigated their dealing with of the COVID-19 pandemic and even spent virtually 10 minutes on the distinction between progressive revenue taxes and flat gross sales taxes.”
“High takeaways, actual winner of DeSantis, Newsom debate” [FOX]. “Towards all expectations, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis completely destroyed California’s Gavin Newsom in Thursday evening’s Pink State-Blue State debate moderated by Sean Hannity on Fox Information. Sure, the governor of Florida had a stronger hand – his state has seen an enormous influx of residents drawn to the higher high quality of life provided by the Sunshine State, whereas individuals have been fleeing California. On subject after subject raised by Hannity, DeSantis might roll out statistics that show the success of the conservative common sense insurance policies he has applied in Florida. However the shock was in his sturdy and persuasive presentation. DeSantis is usually perceived to be a wood speaker and campaigner; possibly his run for president has made him simpler. Newsom, then again, is reputed to be the Democrat’s smooth-talking, politically intelligent president-in-waiting, the possible successor to Joe Biden ought to the president drop out of the 2024 race. ”
“In debate with Newsom, how might DeSantis lose? Hannity pitched him nothing however softballs” [Miami Herald]. “As for winners and losers? Onerous to inform. Newsom, although weak on a couple of points, was in there punching and landed some good traces. “Utilizing human beings as pawns is disqualifying to be president,” he mentioned about DeSantis’ migrant flights. Once more, the host and the viewers — in the event that they caught round — have been ready-made for DeSantis, and he stood to profit from the uneven enjoying area. How might he lose? He didn’t must strive very onerous. He acquired all his marketing campaign speaking factors in with out being challenged by Hannity. But it surely wasn’t truthful; with all of the raucous interrupting and overtalk, it wasn’t even a debate. No, it was a circus.”
“Republican DeSantis, Democrat Newsom conflict in acrimonious debate” [Reuters]. “DeSantis held his personal and had a robust exhibiting towards Newsom, a talented debater, nevertheless it was possible inadequate to revive his stuttering marketing campaign.” • Though oppo researchers are poring over the tapes proper now….
* * * “Kamala Harris reveals she would ‘after all’ inform the American public if there was a ‘drawback’ with Biden” [FOX]. “CNBC host Andrew Ross Sorkin requested Harris if she would ever divulge to the American public if there was an issue with Biden. ‘Do you assume in your function, that you simply’re able to do this?” he requested throughout an interview with Harris at The New York Instances Dealbook Summit. ‘In fact, if crucial, however there’s no want for that. I don’t, there’s a political argument that’s being made. That isn’t based mostly on substance, and also you’re asking me to hypothesize round what are my duties to the American individuals, as vp of america, which might be based mostly on ethics and morals and the legislation. I’ll at all times comply with these guidelines, however I’m suggesting to you that it will be significant we not be seduced into one of many solely arguments that that facet of the aisle has proper now,’ she mentioned.” • So Harris appoints herself gatekeeper. Swell. (Additionally, Harris’s language is like uncanny valley; she’s barely off, consistently (“hypothesize round what are my duties”). It’s like she’s not a local speaker, although she is.)
“Why Democrats are beginning to panic over Biden’s ballot numbers” [Washington Times]. “The frightened Democrats are anxious that slightly than untimely predictions of electoral failure, they’re seeing early warning indicators that Biden is just too weak to win. If these numbers don’t quickly enhance earlier than the polls have higher predictive energy, will probably be too late for a course correction. Given the submitting deadlines in lots of major states in addition to the twin challenges of getting each Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris to step apart, it might already be too late.”
Republican Funhouse
“Behind the Curtain — Scoop: The Trump job purposes revealed” [Axios]. “We advised you in a ‘Behind the Curtain‘ column final month that Trump allies are pre-screening the ideologies of 1000’s of potential appointees and workers in case he wins again the White Home. Now now we have copies of the precise questionnaires Trump allies are utilizing — and that then-President Trump used himself throughout his remaining days in workplace…. Trump insiders are planning a much more focused and complicated sequel to his haphazard first time period, when inner feuding deterred coverage wins or everlasting adjustments to authorities…. The 2020 questionnaire — paired with the appliance the Heritage Basis is presently amassing from job prospects for a future administration — factors to a top-down government-in-waiting that will be pushed extra by ideology than by coverage experience or innovation.” • One other approach of placing that: The ideology is the innnovation. I ponder if BoJo did one thing comparable?
Democrats en Déshabillé
Affected person readers, evidently individuals are really studying the back-dated put up! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are numerous updates. So I should try this. –lambert
I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Get together (“the Democrat Get together is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated put up, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “reside” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Get together is, the truth is, a tough drawback. I do assume the paragraph that follows is on level all the best way again to 2016, if not earlier than:
The Democrat Get together is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Hear, Liberal!). ; if the Democrat Get together didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. . (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” after all.) Second, all of the working elements of the Get together reinforce one another. Depart apart characterizing the relationships between components of the Get together (ka-ching, however not fully) these components comprise a community — a Flex Internet? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with belongings within the press and the intelligence group.
Be aware, after all, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed by different courses; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.
* * * “The Rural Problem for Democrats” [The Liberal Patriot]. “The Democratic Get together’s decade-plus-long collapse in rural and micropolitan America stands as one of many nice obstacles to strengthening the nation’s democracy. Owing to institutional constraints that restrict easy majoritarian rule—the Electoral Faculty and the U.S. Senate specifically—rural areas exert a disproportionate affect on elections, the geographic distribution of political energy, and the power of occasion coalitions. Gerrymandering by Republican-controlled state legislatures compounds this dynamic by both clustering liberal-leaning voters in a couple of districts or splitting them throughout boundaries that favor conservatives. However slightly than determine their weak point in nonmetro areas as an issue to be solved by conventional party-building efforts, too lots of as we speak’s Democrats regard rural America with a combination of resignation, denial, and disdain. Beset with a rural popularity ceaselessly described as ‘poisonous,’ the occasion’s inept method is mirrored in maps of partisan management. Excluding a handful of seats, congressional Democrats draw energy from the coasts and huge cities (at 40 seats, the California delegation alone makes up practically 20 % of the 212-strong Home Democratic caucus). Workplace-holding on the state degree equally tracks the occasion’s overreliance on the Northeastern seaboard and West coast in presidential elections. Had been it not for concerted efforts by native Democrats in Minnesota and Michigan throughout the 2022 midterms, Illinois can be the one state legislature managed by Democrats within the Midwest; unsurprisingly, they management none within the South.”
“Cuomo attorneys contend texts undermine Trooper 1’s allegations” [Times-Union (Bob)]. Approach down within the story: “Cuomo’s attorneys additionally allege within the court docket submitting that the feminine investigator mustn’t have disclosed info to Nevins about her perception that Cuomo had lied in regards to the cause that . She additionally advised Nevins that the FBI ought to examine the secretive testing program, which concerned high-ranking state Well being Division officers who facilitated acquiring expedited take a look at outcomes for Cuomo’s relations. Cuomo’s authorized staff contends the feminine investigator ‘revealed confidential info to Nevins about Governor Cuomo’s contact along with his relations’ when she advised him that Cuomo lied when he mentioned his relations, together with his mom, sister and brother, had obtained the precedence testing as a result of they’d been round him.” • Oh. You possibly can guess Cuomo wasn’t the one one.
Realignment and Legitimacy
“CTIL Recordsdata #1: US And UK Navy Contractors Created Sweeping Plan For World Censorship In 2018, New Paperwork Present” [Michael Shellenberger, Alex Gutentag, and Matt Taibbi, Public]. I Linked to this a couple of days in the past, however I’m linking to it once more, as a result of generates perception within the “realignment and legitimacy body. The topic is the start (or, in the event you desire, Floor Zero) of the Censorship Industrial Complicated: “Now, a big trove of recent paperwork, together with technique paperwork, coaching movies, shows, and inner messages, reveal that, in 2019, US and UK army and intelligence contractors led by a former UK protection researcher, Sara-Jayne ‘SJ’ Terp, developed the sweeping censorship framework. These contractors co-led CTIL, which partnered with CISA within the spring of 2020. In reality, the constructing of the Censorship Industrial Complicated started even earlier — in 2018. Inside [Cyber Threat Intelligence League (CTIL) Slack messages show Terp, her colleagues, and officials from DHS and Facebook all working closely together in the censorship process. The CTIL framework and the public-private model are the seeds of what both the US and UK would put into place in 2020 and 2021, including masking censorship within cybersecurity institutions and counter-disinformation agendas; a heavy focus on stopping disfavored narratives, not just wrong facts; and pressuring social media platforms to take down information or take other actions to prevent content from going viral.” Gramsci urges, somewhere, that state and civil society can be separated only as objects of study. That is, we cannot think of the State as a single entity, a la the “Deep State.” Both are aspects of the same governing class of people, all playing their roles (sometimes multiple roles) in parallel and intersecting fields. As for example: “According to the whistleblower, roughly 12-20 active people involved in CTIL worked at the FBI or CISA. “For a while, they had their agency seals — FBI, CISA, whatever — next to your name,” on the Slack messaging service, said the whistleblower.” • Janine Wedel’s model of networked “Flexians” (The Shadow Elites) is far better framework to approach understanding these developments; I should really review it one day. Anyhow, here is Taibbi’s accompanying video:
“Who Are Able to Rouse Up Leviathan?” [Ed Simon, The Baffler]. “TWO YEARS AGO, within the final 12 months of an ill-fated interval of residing in Washington, D.C., and pretending that I used to be serious about what lanyards needed to say, I gave a discuss faith and journalism at a kind of political magazines with an anodyne identify. Based by a thinker whom you’ve all heard of (Google “finish of historical past”), the assembled have been broadly “centrists,” presumably an assortment of neoliberal By no means Bernie Democrats and neoconservative By no means Trump Republicans, all of whom I assumed have been a lot additional to the suitable than myself. Regardless of our apparent coverage variations, I discovered the individuals—Zoomed into the little squares organized just like the opening credit of The Brady Bunch on my laptop computer—to be unflaggingly well mannered, considerate, and clever. In spite of everything, we have been all essentially liberals, even when I’ll outline myself as a left-liberal (which is to say that between barbarism and socialism, I’m in all probability going to go for the latter). But no matter their commitments to the “free” market that’s at finest a chimera and at worst a fraud, we had a consensus on ideas that may be traced again to the eighteenth-century, which is to say a perception within the dignity of people, the equality of all individuals, and the universality of those beliefs (that final one is extra of a helpful assemble in my thoughts). The one tenet of liberalism on which we meaningfully differed was of their religion within the inevitability of cause to collectively enhance the human situation. For me, that’s a quixotic religion with no empirical backing.” • Ulp! And in a not-unrelated put up–
“Eugenics as an ideology” [Chloe Humbert]. “A few of the denial surrounding the eugenics-like selections within the pandemic has relied upon a slender unipolar understanding of eugenics. The traditionally most recognizable idea of eugenics is the place lively intervention is finished to decide on the winners and losers, equivalent to pressured breeding, sterilization, deprivation, and murderous executions, by the lively will and brazenly admitted decisions of the individuals in energy over the scheme, asserting their authority to take action…. The probably extra prevalent, and considerably extra insidious model of eugenics ideology, that has flown beneath the radar in our fashionable world, is the variability that spawned grotesque and wholly unscientific concepts like ‘pure herd immunity’ within the pandemic, as pushed by Scott Atlas and The Nice Barrington Declaration adherents. To withhold prevention of affected by these weak. he proponents of this kind of eugenics declare that they’re leaving it as much as ‘nature’ or, alternately, particularly a divine energy, relying on their non secular or secular orientation. The purpose is to cease any intervention that will save individuals they assume are ‘weak’ or ‘undeserving’ ultimately as inappropriately countering the superior ‘nature’ to do its factor. This consists of resistance to all public well being measures like masks, vaccines, meals help, healthcare fairness, and even catastrophe reduction and common training in public faculties. By no means thoughts that interventions are pure too, as a result of people do them, the identical approach birds construct nests, however clearly individuals draw the road on “pure” wherever it’s handy to their goal.” • In observe, “nature” doesn’t do its factor in any respect, however establishments, differentiallly utilized or, within the vulgate, “the luck of the draw.” That’s why I take advantage of the time period “stochastic eugenicism,” for the reason that completely happy consequence on the inhabitants degree could seem random on the particular person degree.
“Julianna Margulies Says Black Palestine Supporters Have Been ‘Brainwashed to Hate Jews’” [Rolling Stone]. “Discussing the Civil Rights Motion, Margulies famous that ‘the Jews have been those that walked facet by facet with the Blacks to combat for his or her rights. And now the Black group isn’t embracing us and saying ‘We stand with you the best way you stood with us’? Jews died for his or her trigger. The place’s the historical past lesson in that? Who’s educating these children? As a result of the truth that the whole Black group isn’t standing with us, to me, says they don’t know, or they’ve been brainwashed to hate Jews.” • There may be, after all, an infinite dogpile occurring proper now over this. To me, Margulies’s remark displays the vacuity of Id Politics. Definitely “not all Jews” “walked facet by facet” with “the Blacks”; and going unmentioned is the truth that lots of those that did, within the Nineteen Thirties, have been — [gasp] — Communists. Including to the hilarity are coments to the impact that crediting “the Jews” for this makes them “white saviors,” piling a Pelion of idiocy upon the Ossa of a fallacy of composition. We don’t even must get to, er, figuring out all Jews with the state of Israel to see how confused this whole line of considering is.
#COVID19
“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Normal Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the handle given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater studies); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep secure on the market!
Immune Dysregulation
On mycoplasma pneumonia (“strolling pneumonia”), or no matter it’s, reasoning by analogy, I wrote:
I don’t assume the case is iron-clad, nevertheless it certain appears that approach, vs. various explanations like seasonality and so-called immunity debt. I feel the exact mechanism is beneath dialogue, however IMNSHO “immunue dysregulation” is the suitable thought at a excessive degree. FWIW!
Individuals who have been near the AIDS disaster might appropriate this blue sky hypothesis, however IIRC, AIDS symptons have been initially “delicate” [***cough***] and solely over time did the “ID” (Immune Deficiency”) side change into clear, what with Kaposi sarcoma, thrush, and so on. /p>
To this point, SARS-CoV-2’s trajectory is unnervingly just like AIDS, even other than the sudden eruption of mysterious illnesses. Culturally, condoms = masks; “secure intercourse” = air flow. When it comes to response, CDC and the political class are actually what they have been then. I’m hawkish on this, and I imagine that in a 12 months, “Airborne AIDS” will begin reaching the mainstream, and rightly. In impact, we’re collectively opening a marketplace for costly prescription drugs not less than an order of magnitude larger than these for AIDS. Silver lining!
Laying down a little bit of a marker, right here. Now you recognize my priors!
“Now MASSACHUSETTS says it’s being hit by wave of pneumonia in kids as Ohio county points “white lung” warning – after China and Europe noticed surge in circumstances and hospitalizations” [Daily Mail]. “Docs in elements of Massachusetts and Ohio are reporting a spike in youngster pneumonia circumstances just like the outbreak spreading in China and elements of Europe. In Warren County, simply 30 miles outdoors Cincinnati, there have been 142 pediatric circumstances of the situation — dubbed ‘white lung syndrome’ — since August, a determine well being officers there described as ‘extraordinarily excessive’. ‘Not solely is that this above the county common, it additionally meets the Ohio Division of Well being definition of an outbreak,’ the county’s well being division mentioned Wednesday. In the meantime, in western Massachusetts, physicians are seeing ‘a complete lot’ of strolling pneumonia, a milder type of the lung situation, which is being attributable to a combination of bacterial and viral infections. Neither outbreak is being attributable to a novel pathogen and never the entire pneumonia circumstances are being attributable to the identical an infection. Consultants say a combination of a number of seasonal bacterial and viral bugs are hitting directly, placing stress on hospitals. It has raised fears that the outbreak that has overwhelmed hospitals China might hit the US this winter. A number of European nations are battling comparable crises.” • Why now? Why kids? Why such a fast unfold? ‘Tis a thriller! This isn’t straight pertinent, however–
Testing and Monitoring
Assume “artisanal wastewater”:
Some people are discovering that they take a look at neg on the RATs however once they swabbed their poo, it examined constructive. Could be instructive.
— ShastaMystic (@ShastaMystic) December 1, 2023
Instructions:
To do that, I feel one can simply stick the swab into soiled rest room water earlier than mixing the swab with the take a look at liquid (it’s essential that you simply do the blending, you possibly can’t simply put rest room water on the strip).
10/— Marc Johnson (@SolidEvidence) July 6, 2023
That is a really new thought, so despite the fact that Marc Johnson is a superb account, I don’t know if this system is canon. Readers?
Scientific Communication
Methods of denial:
Every technique being a whole failure of scientific communication by the general public well being institution.
An infection
“COVID-19 ramping up within the Quad Cities, hospital officers say” [KWQC]. ” Hospitalizations for COVID-19 are on the rise within the Quad-Cities, and well being specialists are once more reminding individuals to take precautions as we head into the vacations. As individuals transfer indoors and collect for holidays, a spokesperson for UnityPoint Well being-Trinity mentioned there are precautions individuals can take to remain secure, together with repeatedly washing your fingers and staying house when sick.” • [lambert bangs head on desk]. In some unspecified time in the future, now we have to rule out ignorance as a proof.
“One thing Terrible”
Lambert right here: I’m getting the sensation that the “One thing Terrible” is likely to be a sawtooth sample — variant after variant — that averages out to a completely excessive plateau. Numerous exceptionally nasty sequelae, more than likely deriving from immune dysregulation (says this layperson). To which we’d add mind harm, together with persona adjustments therefrom.
* * *
Elite Maleficence
Pleased Anniversary (1):
4 years in the past as we speak: A person in Wuhan, China begins feeling unwell, changing into the primary confirmed case of COVID-19. A minimum of 7 million individuals have since died, with estimates as excessive as 27 million
— BNO Information (@BNOFeed) November 30, 2023
Pleased Anniversary (2):
Did we get…
Higher fast checks? – nope
Improved indoor air high quality? – lmao no
Assured sick go away within the U.S.? – Hahaha present up or lose *every thing*
Accelerated improvement of second gen / intranasal vaccines? – We waited till 2023 to consider funding that. No rush. 🤡
— Decorum Disassembly – mas.to/@decorummanager (@DecorumManager) December 1, 2023
The Biden Administration’s coverage of malign neglect (“stochastic eugenicism”) is clearly seen on this, our silly timeline.
Case Knowledge
NOT UPDATED From BioBot wastewater information, November 27:
Lambert right here: Case counts transferring well upward (and tinfoil hat time: That is the, er, inflection level CDC was attempting to hide once they gave the contract to Verily and didn’t guarantee a seamless transition).
Regional information:
That Midwest near-vertical curve is regarding, though as ever with Biobot you need to look ahead to backward revisions.
Variants
NOT UPDATED From CDC, November25:
Lambert right here: High of the leaderboard: HV.1, EG.5 a robust second, however BA.2.86 developing quick on the surface.
From CDC, November 11:
Lambert right here: I certain hope the volunteers doing Pangolin, on which this chart relies upon, don’t all transfer on the inexperienced fields and pastures new (or have their entry to amenities reduce by directors of unwell intent).
CDC: “As of Could 11, genomic surveillance information will likely be reported biweekly, based mostly on the provision of constructive take a look at specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice per week; semiweekly.” Appears like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.
Covid Emergency Room Visits
NOT UPDATED From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, November 25:
Lambert right here: Slight will increase in some age teams, conforming to wastewater information. Solely per week’s lag, so this can be our greatest present nationwide, present indicator.
NOTE “Charts and information offered by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous 12 months, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not the whole pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “similar to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is acceptable for eachMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these individuals a lot. Discover additionally that this chart reveals, not less than for its time interval, that Covid is not seasonal, despite the fact that CDC is attempting to get us to imagine that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the present institutional equipment for injections. And naturally, we’re not even stepping into the standard of the wastewater websites that now we have as a proxy for Covid an infection general.
Hospitalization
Bellwether New York Metropolis, information as of December 1:
Steadily up. New York state as a complete appears to be like extra like a spike. (I hate this metric as a result of the lag makes it misleading, though the hospital-centric public well being institution loves it, hospitalization and deaths being the one metrics that matter [snort]).
NOT UPDATED Right here’s a special CDC visualization on hospitalization, nationwide, not by state, however with a date, not less than. November 18:
Lambert right here: “Maps, charts, and information offered by CDC, updates weekly for the earlier MMWR week (Sunday-Saturday) on Thursdays (Deaths, Emergency Division Visits, Check Positivity) and weekly the next Mondays (Hospitalizations) by 8 pm ET†”. So the place the heck is the replace, CDC?
Positivity
NOT UPDATED From Walgreens, November 27:
0.4%. Up. (It might be fascinating to survey this inhabitants usually; these are individuals who, regardless of a tsunami of official propaganda and massive peer stress, went and acquired examined anyhow.)
NOT UPDATED From Cleveland Clinic, November 25:
Lambert right here: Improve (with backward revision; guess they thought it was over). I do know that is simply Ohio, however the Cleveland Clinic is sweet*, and we’re starved for information, so…. NOTE * Even when hospital an infection management is attempting to kill sufferers by eliminating common masking with N95s.
NOT UPDATED From CDC, traveler’s information, November 6:
Down, albeit within the rear view mirror. And listed here are the variants for vacationers, November 6:
BA.2.86 coming alongside properly.
Deaths
Complete: 1,183,754 – 1,183,664 = 90 (209 * 90 = 18,810 deaths per 12 months, as we speak’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “residing with” Covid (fairly a bit greater than the minimizers would love, although they’ll speak themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I could must determine that is what the powers-that-be think about “mission completed” for this explicit tranche of demise and illness).
Lambert right here: This quantity is just too small it doesn’t matter what. Iowa Covid19 Tracker hasn’t been up to date since September 27, 2023. I’ll must revert to CDC information. Yech.
Extra Deaths
NOT UPDATED The Economist, November 18:
Lambert right here: Gonna must whack this, too. How does an automatic mannequin not replace? Based mostly on a machine-learning mannequin.
Stats Watch
Manufacturing: “United States ISM Buying Managers Index (PMI)” [Trading Economics]. “The ISM Manufacturing PMI was unchanged at 46.7 in November 2023, the identical as in October, and beneath forecasts of 47.6, persevering with to level to contraction within the manufacturing sector. Firms are nonetheless managing outputs appropriately as order softness continues.”
The Fed: “Fed’s Curiosity Charge Hikes Are Most likely Over, however Officers Are Reluctant to Say So” [Wall Street Journal]. “Financial coverage is at its most economically restrictive setting in 25 years, and it might want to keep tight ‘for fairly a while,’ New York Fed President John Williams mentioned at a convention on Thursday. ‘We have to watch,’ Williams advised reporters after a speech. ‘I’ve to evaluate, ‘OK, how is that this enjoying out?’”
Immediately’s Concern & Greed Index: 67 Greed (earlier shut: 66 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 66 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Dec 1 at 1:28:17 PM ET.
Class Warfare
“Billionaires amass extra by inheritance than wealth creation, says UBS” [Financial Times]. “‘The heirs to billionaires are gaining prominence,’ mentioned Benjamin Cavalli, UBS’s head of world wealth administration strategic shoppers. ‘New billionaires minted throughout this 12 months’s research interval collected extra wealth by inheritance than entrepreneurship. That’s a theme we anticipate to see extra of over the following 20 to 30 years, as greater than 1,000 billionaires move an estimated $5.2tn to their kids.’” • Finest, I feel, to consider capitalal as being owned by households/clans. Not people (so “Each billioniare is a coverage failure” will not be fairly proper). Looks like a marketing campaign subject…
Information of the Wired
“Who Makes the Most Dependable New Vehicles?” [Consumer Reports]. • American manufacturing prowess (U.S. companies highlighted):
I’m somewhat amazed to see Tesla forward of Cadillac. I imply, final I checked, Elon nonetheless couldn’t run a paint sales space, so Cadillac have to be actually dangerous.
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